ETF Expectations™

ETF Expectations™
The Top ETFs
With The Strongest Buy or Sell Indication
Over The Next 6 Trading Weeks

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ETFs' price actions are the attributes used in the estimating algorithms. I do not use external market events as attributes. Therefore, unforeseen external market events will and may cause incorrect estimates.

Based on confusion matrix analysis, estimates made for the first 2 weeks can be average - slightly better than 50% correct. But as the estimates go further out in time the correct rate for some symbols exceed 90%.

Date Of Report: 2021-05-10

Symbol	1 - 5 Days Out	6 - 10 Days Out	11 - 15 Days Out	16 - 20 Days Out	21 - 25 Days Out	25 - 30 Days Out
boil				Sell
dbc		Buy	Buy
dxj			Buy			Buy
epv		Sell
fas	Buy
faz		Sell				Sell
gltr			Buy
ivv						Buy
iyr						Sell
lqd				Buy
oih			Sell
pall		Buy
psq						Sell
qid						Sell
sh						Sell
skf		Sell
spy						Buy
tecl						Buy
tna				Sell
ung				Sell
uyg		Buy
vixy					Sell
voo					Buy	Buy
vxx			Sell		Sell
xbi	Sell
xlb					Buy
xlf		Buy

Results for Report
With Close On 2021-05-10

Days Out	Results
1 - 5 Days	Call Made on 2021-05-03 Buy Correct Average: n/c Sell Correct Average: n/c Both Calls Correct Average: n/c
6 - 10 Days	Call Made on 2021-04-26 Buy Correct Average: n/c Sell Correct Average: .00% Both Calls Correct Average: .00%
11 - 15 Days	Call Made on 2021-04-19 Buy Correct Average: 66.67% Sell Correct Average: 60.00% Both Calls Correct Average: 62.50%
16 - 20 Days	Call Made on 2021-04-12 Buy Correct Average: .00% Sell Correct Average: 42.86% Both Calls Correct Average: 37.50%
21 - 25 Days	Call Made on 2021-04-05 Buy Correct Average: .00% Sell Correct Average: 33.33% Both Calls Correct Average: 20.00%
26 - 30 Days	Call Made on 2021-03-26 Buy Correct Average: 100.00% Sell Correct Average: 60.00% Both Calls Correct Average: 66.67%
Results use the average of the closing price for each of the 5 days in the reporting period against the closing price of the report date.

Link to a description of how the models work

Disclaimer

Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results

This blog is for informational use only. I do not recommend buying or selling any financial instrument.

This is not investment advice!

None of the information or opinions expressed in this blog constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument.

Any purchase or sale activity in any securities or other instrument mentioned here should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions.

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Previously known as The Short Term Market Timing Report.

Last updated 2021-05-03