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ETFs' price actions are the attributes used in the estimating algorithms. I do not use external market events as attributes.
Therefore, unforeseen external market events will and may cause incorrect estimates.
Based on confusion matrix analysis, estimates made for the first 2 weeks can be average - slightly better than 50% correct. But as the estimates go further out in time the correct rate for some symbols exceed 90%.
Date Of Report:
2021-01-15
Symbol | 1 - 5 Days Out | 6 - 10 Days Out | 11 - 15 Days Out | 16 - 20 Days Out | 21 - 25 Days Out | 25 - 30 Days Out |
acwi | | | | | | Buy | bzq | | | | | Sell | | dbc | | | | Buy | Buy | | dia | | | | | | Buy | dug | | | | | Sell | | dxd | | | | | Sell | Sell | edc | | | | | Buy | Buy | edz | Sell | | | Sell | | Sell | eem | | | | | Buy | Buy | eet | | | | Buy | Buy | Buy | eev | Sell | | | Sell | | | epv | | | Sell | | | | eum | | Sell | | Sell | Sell | Sell | euo | | | | | | Sell | ewj | | | | | | Buy | ewt | | | | | Buy | | ewv | Sell | | | Sell | | Sell | faz | Sell | | Sell | Sell | | Sell | iemg | | | | | Buy | Buy | ijr | | | | | | Buy | inda | | | | | Buy | Buy | ivv | | | | | | Buy | iwd | | | | | | Buy | iwm | | | | | | Buy | kbe | | | | | Buy | | mvv | | | | | | Buy | mzz | Sell | | | | | | psq | | | | Sell | Sell | Sell | pst | | | | Buy | | | qid | | | | | Sell | Sell | qqq | | | | | Buy | | rwm | | | | | | Sell | sdd | Sell | Sell | | | | Sell | sjnk | | | | | Buy | | smh | | | | | Buy | Buy | soxs | Sell | | | | Sell | | sqqq | | | | | | Sell | srty | Sell | Sell | | | | Sell | ssg | Sell | | | | Sell | Sell | tmf | | | Sell | | | | tmv | | Buy | Buy | | | | tna | | | Buy | | | Buy | tza | Sell | | | | | | ubr | | | | | | Buy | ubt | | | | Sell | | | umdd | | | | | | Buy | urty | | | Buy | | Buy | Buy | usd | | | | | Buy | Buy | ust | | Sell | Sell | Sell | | | uwm | | | | | | Buy | uxi | | | | | | Buy | uym | | | | | | Buy | vea | | | | | Buy | | veu | | | | | Buy | | vgk | | | | | Buy | | voo | | | | | | Buy | vti | | | | | | Buy | vwo | | | | | Buy | | xbi | | | | Buy | | | xhs | | | Buy | Buy | | Buy | xlb | | | | | Buy | | xlk | | | Buy | Buy | | | xme | | | | Buy | | | xrt | Buy | | | | | | yinn | | | Buy | | | |
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Results for Report With Close On 2021-01-15
Days Out | Results |
1 - 5 Days | Call Made on 2021-01-08 Buy Correct Average: 60.00% Sell Correct Average: 33.33% Both Calls Correct Average: 50.00% |
6 - 10 Days | Call Made on 2020-12-31 Buy Correct Average: 20.00% Sell Correct Average: 12.50% Both Calls Correct Average: 15.38% |
11 - 15 Days | Call Made on 2020-12-23 Buy Correct Average: 84.62% Sell Correct Average: 75.00% Both Calls Correct Average: 82.35% |
16 - 20 Days | Call Made on 2020-12-16 Buy Correct Average: n/c Sell Correct Average: n/c Both Calls Correct Average: n/c |
21 - 25 Days | Call Made on 2020-12-09 Buy Correct Average: n/c Sell Correct Average: n/c Both Calls Correct Average: n/c |
26 - 30 Days | Call Made on 2020-12-02 Buy Correct Average: .00% Sell Correct Average: n/c Both Calls Correct Average: .00% |
Results use the average of the closing price for each of the 5 days in the reporting period against the closing price of the report date. |
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