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Buy and Sell Estimated Probabilites
For Top 25 (by volume) ETFs
For The Next 5 and 10 Day Periods

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The most current report for 2020-01-17 will be posted at
2020-01-21 11:30:00
And for you who don't bother with a subscription, I will continue to publish the report here... sometime after the open.

Date Of Report: 2020-01-16

* - see current report notes in left column
The report for 2020-01-17 will be posted at
2020-01-21 11:30:00

5 Day Model 1 Week Model
SymbolIndicated
Move
Chance Better
Than Average
Indicated Move
Chance of
Indicated Move
SymbolIndicated
Move
Chance Better
Than Average
Indicated Move
Chance of
Indicated Move
AMLPbuy49.0%80.9%AMLPbuy45.2%86.0%
DUSTsell72.9%97.5%DUSTBUY41.6%82.6%
DWTsell67.3%97.0%DWTSELL46.5%89.4%
EEMbuy49.6%87.5%EEMSELL49.7%89.3%
EFAbuy57.2%87.7%EFAbuy42.4%90.2%
EWZSELL62.6%83.5%EWZSELL43.0%86.9%
FXIbuy51.4%87.7%FXIbuy53.6%89.7%
GDXbuy53.5%91.7%GDXSELL48.8%88.8%
GDXJbuy53.2%89.5%GDXJBUY51.8%87.9%
HYGbuy57.4%89.8%HYGbuy51.7%90.4%
IAUBUY63.5%91.7%IAUBUY47.9%87.2%
IEMGsell51.6%75.6%IEMGsell46.9%85.3%
IWMbuy58.1%91.1%IWMbuy48.1%89.3%
QQQbuy53.0%96.0%QQQBUY37.4%92.1%
SLVsell62.0%89.3%SLVBUY48.4%84.6%
SPYbuy60.5%94.1%SPYBUY48.0%89.5%
SQQQsell68.8%95.9%SQQQsell48.6%91.6%
TQQQbuy63.2%95.3%TQQQbuy51.7%90.3%
USObuy56.8%86.4%USOSELL61.7%91.2%
UVXYsell71.2%97.4%UVXYbuy38.0%82.2%
VXXsell71.2%97.5%VXXBUY48.2%82.0%
XLEsell54.2%84.6%XLEsell48.5%91.5%
XLFbuy59.3%92.4%XLFbuy54.5%89.0%
XLUbuy65.0%91.2%XLUBUY45.0%90.0%
XOPsell52.8%82.5%XOPSELL47.0%93.5%

Looking out another week or so...

10 Day Model 2 Week Model
SymbolIndicated
Move
Chance Better
Than Average
Indicated Move
Chance of
Indicated Move
SymbolIndicated
Move
Chance Better
Than Average
Indicated Move
Chance of
Indicated Move
AMLPsell74.5%95.1%AMLPbuy43.2%86.8%
DUSTbuy64.7%88.4%DUSTSELL50.2%91.2%
DWTBUY76.4%89.8%DWTsell46.3%94.5%
EEMsell66.2%83.3%EEMbuy36.8%92.3%
EFAbuy66.0%92.7%EFAbuy53.8%94.3%
EWZSELL64.2%90.5%EWZbuy54.4%88.8%
FXIbuy68.7%90.7%FXIBUY48.7%86.4%
GDXsell64.7%89.4%GDXbuy40.5%86.4%
GDXJsell49.2%74.9%GDXJBUY49.8%89.3%
HYGbuy66.1%89.5%HYGsell53.4%87.6%
IAUBUY64.7%87.7%IAUBUY58.9%92.1%
IEMGsell67.6%80.6%IEMGBUY52.6%89.6%
IWMbuy65.2%93.0%IWMbuy55.3%90.8%
QQQbuy53.5%96.3%QQQBUY48.8%92.4%
SLVbuy57.2%86.5%SLVBUY54.6%86.5%
SPYbuy71.8%95.9%SPYBUY53.5%92.3%
SQQQsell77.2%97.5%SQQQbuy41.1%78.3%
TQQQbuy71.9%97.2%TQQQbuy59.9%94.8%
USObuy64.4%92.0%USObuy50.2%87.2%
UVXYbuy55.4%73.0%UVXYBUY43.0%78.5%
VXXsell83.6%97.5%VXXbuy43.0%76.7%
XLEbuy62.9%85.7%XLEbuy44.3%85.8%
XLFbuy69.8%91.5%XLFsell45.2%81.2%
XLUsell49.5%68.0%XLUbuy55.9%95.8%
XOPSELL67.4%89.0%XOPbuy54.8%86.2%

Results for Previous Reports
With Final Closes That Occur On 2020-01-16

Chance of
Indicated Move
Percentage Of
Calls That Were Correct
Percentage Change
for Period
Did Percentage Beat
Market Percentage Change
of 1.11% for Same Period
5 Day Call made on 2020-01-10
all67.33%0.96%
>80%76.74%1.43%
>90%80.49%2.25%
1 Week Call made on 2020-01-10
all54.46%-0.19%
>80%54.46%-0.19%
>90%79.41%1.00%
When Both Agree66.67%0.55%
 
Chance of
Indicated Move
Percentage Of
Calls That Were Correct
Percentage Change
for Period
Did Percentage Beat
Market Percentage Change
of 2.14% for Same Period
10 Day Call made on 2020-01-03
all60.00%-0.19%
>80%60.00%-0.19%
>90%66.67%0.00%
2 Week Call made on 2020-01-03
all50.00%-0.52%
>80%55.56%-0.39%
>90%80.00%1.11%
When Both Agree55.56%-0.39%
 

Link to a description of how the models work

Disclaimer

Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results

This blog is for informational use only. I do not recommend buying or selling any financial instrument.

This is not investment advice!

None of the information or opinions expressed in this blog constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security or other instrument.

Any purchase or sale activity in any securities or other instrument mentioned here should be based upon your own analysis and conclusions.

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