McVerry Report

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5-Day U.S. Market Forecast
And Sector Analysis
Current Price
Data as of
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[No canvas support]
SectorCallCall Date
Health CareBearish2014-12-11
Consumer CyclicalBullish2014-12-10
Consumer StaplesBullish2014-10-09
Based on Relative Price Change, RSI and MACD

How It Works

These are Gaussian matrix elimination models.

This model uses the stocks from the S & P 500. I create three groups of 5 stocks from 15 highest correlating stocks for each symbol forecasted. I build "submodels" based on periods of the stocks' price changes with a similar price pattern that matches the symbols' changes (something similar to a Baysian condition). I call these patterns "Fingerprints." So if the correlating symbols all are positive then the fingerprint is "+++++". Using the submodels that provide the closest (read best) there is a test for best historical performance. Historical performance is based on the up to 10 best submodels; best meaning they generate price changes that are closest to the historical day's price change of the current date range of 1 1/2 years.

From each of the 3 groups the model uses (up to) 10 resulting vector with the previous day's price. Or if the application is run during the day the current price.

Finally two numbers are displayed for each future date:

  • a simple average of the 3 results is computed.
  • the median number from the list of calculated 30 numbers.

If no matching fingerprint submodels are available then all submodels from all 3 groups are used, calculated, totaled and the average is computed. The average is then used as the predicted price change.

Sector Analysis

The output for this page is generated by a combination of three analogs: PCTP (Price Change Tipping Point), RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). All 3 use an optimized cross-over value.

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Sites Used With This Report

A Dash Of Insight
AC Investor Blog
Alhambra Investment Partners
Astro Technicals
Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
Buy - Don't Hold
Chart Learning - Learn to Trade Stocks With Technical Analysis
★★Cycle Trading★★
Dana Lyons' Tumblr
Denaliguide's Summit
★★Elliott Wave Market Service★★
Fair Value Stocks
Forex Crunch
Hard Right Edge
Humble Student of the Markets Traders Blog
Inside Futures
Intelligent Investing
Jesse's Cafe Americain
★★Kimble Charting Solutions★★
Marc To Market
Market Geometry With Joed - MarketPulse
McClellan Financial Publications
Money Manthan
Nate's Market Analysis
★★Permabear Doomster★★
Philosophical Economics
Portfolio Probe
Price Action Lab Blog
★★Safe Haven★★
Schaeffer's Investment Research
See It Market
Short Takes
Short Term Trading Live With Oscar
Slope Of Hope
★★SPX CIT Dates★★
Stoch Trader
Stock Trader's Almanac
Stock Trading To Go - Blogs
Strawberry Blonde's Market Summary
Sun and Storm Investing Market Timing Blog
Swing Trade cycles
The Bonddad Blog
The Fat Pitch
★★The Keystone Speculator★★
Trade Followers
★★Trader Moe★★
Trader's Library
Trading Channels
Trading Daze
Trend Following On Stocks
★★Trending Waves★★
Wave Pattern Traders
★★Wave Principle★★

This Month's Top 10 Viewed Site:★★
This Month's Top 25 Viewed Site:

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Business & Finance News - Yahoo! Finance
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CXO Advisory Group
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  • Aggregating For Expectations
  • Price Tiping Point, MACD and RSI Cross-overs.
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