McVerry Report

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5-Day U.S. Market Forecast
And Sector Analysis
Current Price
Data as of
Requires Javascript Enabled In Browser
[No canvas support]
SectorCallCall Date
Health CareBearish2014-12-11
TechnologyBullish2014-04-25
EnergyBearish2014-12-03
MaterialsBullish2014-12-31
IndustrialsBearish2014-09-26
UtilitiesBearish2015-01-02
Consumer CyclicalBullish2014-12-10
FinancialsBullish2014-05-05
Consumer StaplesBullish2014-10-09
MetalsBearish2014-12-18
Based on Relative Price Change, RSI and MACD

How It Works

These are Gaussian matrix elimination models.

This model uses the stocks from the S & P 500. I create three groups of 5 stocks from 15 highest correlating stocks for each symbol forecasted. I build "submodels" based on periods of the stocks' price changes with a similar price pattern that matches the symbols' changes (something similar to a Baysian condition). I call these patterns "Fingerprints." So if the correlating symbols all are positive then the fingerprint is "+++++". Using the submodels that provide the closest (read best) there is a test for best historical performance. Historical performance is based on the up to 10 best submodels; best meaning they generate price changes that are closest to the historical day's price change of the current date range of 1 1/2 years.

From each of the 3 groups the model uses (up to) 10 resulting vector with the previous day's price. Or if the application is run during the day the current price.

Finally two numbers are displayed for each future date:

  • a simple average of the 3 results is computed.
  • the median number from the list of calculated 30 numbers.

If no matching fingerprint submodels are available then all submodels from all 3 groups are used, calculated, totaled and the average is computed. The average is then used as the predicted price change.

Sector Analysis

The output for this page is generated by a combination of three analogs: PCTP (Price Change Tipping Point), RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). All 3 use an optimized cross-over value.

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Sites Used With This Report

1 Option Trading
1nvestor
Adam H. Grimes
Afraid to Trade
Alhambra Investment Partners
Better Trader
Break Point Trades
Channel and Patterns
Downside Hedge
Evil.Speculator
Financial Sense
Forex Crunch
Hard Right Edge
★★Inside Futures★★
Keybot the Quant
Market Geometry With Joed
★★Nifty charts and latest market updates★★
pebblewriter
★★Permabear Doomster★★
Right Side of the Chart
See It Market
Shanky's Technical Analysis and Market Commentary
Stoch Trader
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Systematic Relative Strength
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World Beta

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A Dash Of Insight
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Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
Business & Finance News - Yahoo! Finance
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CXO Advisory Group
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Daily FX
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Daneric's Elliott Waves
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De Kritische Belegger<Dutch>The Critical Investor
Deflation Land
Denaliguide's Summit
Dividend Growth Investor
Dividends4Life
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Dr. Ed's Blog
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Elliott Wave India
Elliott Wave Market Service
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ETF.com
EW-Forecast
EWM Interactive
Factor
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Fallond Stock Picks
Fibonacci-Financial
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Flirting with Models
Futures Trading 911
Gold Stocks & Forex
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INO.com Traders Blog
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Mr. Top Step
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StockCharts.com - Blogs
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Strawberry Blonde's Market Summary
Streettalk Daily X-Change
Sun and Storm Investing Market Timing Blog
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Terry's Tips
The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
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Trading2day - Profitable risk taking
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