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5-Day U.S. Market Forecast
And Sector Analysis
Current Price
Data as of
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SectorCallCall Date
Consumer CyclicalBullish2015-01-28
Consumer StaplesBullish2015-01-23
Based on Relative Price Change, RSI and MACD

How It Works

These are Gaussian matrix elimination models.

This model uses the stocks from the S & P 500. I create three groups of 5 stocks from 15 highest correlating stocks for each symbol forecasted. I build "submodels" based on periods of the stocks' price changes with a similar price pattern that matches the symbols' changes (something similar to a Baysian condition). I call these patterns "Fingerprints." So if the correlating symbols all are positive then the fingerprint is "+++++". Using the submodels that provide the closest (read best) there is a test for best historical performance. Historical performance is based on the up to 10 best submodels; best meaning they generate price changes that are closest to the historical day's price change of the current date range of 1 1/2 years.

From each of the 3 groups the model uses (up to) 10 resulting vector with the previous day's price. Or if the application is run during the day the current price.

Finally two numbers are displayed for each future date:

  • a simple average of the 3 results is computed.
  • the median number from the list of calculated 30 numbers.

If no matching fingerprint submodels are available then all submodels from all 3 groups are used, calculated, totaled and the average is computed. The average is then used as the predicted price change.

Sector Analysis

The output for this page is generated by a combination of three analogs: PCTP (Price Change Tipping Point), RSI (Relative Strength Index) and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). All 3 use an optimized cross-over value.

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Sites Used With This Report

AC Investor Blog
Daneric's Elliott Waves
Fallond Stock Picks
★★Golden Opportunity Trading★★
Harmonic Elliott Wave
★★Headline Charts★★ Traders Blog
Inside Futures
Jesse's Cafe Americain
Market Timing Update
★★Permabear Doomster★★
Stock Trader's Almanac - Blogs
Strawberry Blonde's Market Summary
Technically Speaking Market Analysis and Theory
the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on
★★Trader Moe★★
Ulli... The ETF Bully
Wave Principle

This Month's Top 10 Viewed Site:★★
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All Star Charts
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Andrew Thrasher
Artificial Investing
Astro Technicals
Better Trader
Black Gold Disease
Bobs Stock Signals
Break Point Trades
Bulkowski's Stock Market Trading Techniques and Research.
Business & Finance News - Yahoo! Finance
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Chart Learning - Learn to Trade Stocks With Technical Analysis.
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Collin Twiggs Trading Diary
Crossing Wall Street
CXO Advisory Group
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Cyclical Market Analysis
Daily FX
Dana Lyons' Tumblr
Darell's Charts
De Kritische Belegger<Dutch>The Critical Investor
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Denaliguide's Summit
Dividend Growth Investor
Downside Hedge
Dr. Ed's Blog
Elliott Wave India
Elliott Wave Market Service
Elliott Wave Predictions
EWM Interactive
Fair Value Stocks
Financial Sense
Flirting with Models
Forex Crunch
Futures Trading 911
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Gold Squeeze
Hard Assets Investor - Common Sense on Commodities
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Harmonics Tube
High Frequency Trading Review
Humble Student of the Markets
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Market Anthropology
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Sun and Storm Investing Market Timing Blog
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Terry's Tips
The Art Of Chart
The Blog of HORAN Capital Advisors
The Bonddad Blog
The Clueless Q Trader
The Cointelegraph
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Trade Trekker
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Trader Kingdom
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Trending Waves
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Wall Street Window
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World Beta
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